Statistical modeling reveals mating tip for prairie bird species: You should be dancing

Statistical modeling reveals mating tip for prairie bird species: You should be dancing

Event scheme and model constraints for the relational event model (REM). Credit: Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences (2025). DOI: 10.1098/rspb.2024.2981

When it comes to impressing the ladies, greater sage-grouse males know that smooth dance moves trump combative posturing. Indeed, new Yale research into these prairie-dwelling birds confirms that female preference is more important than male aggression when it’s time to mate.

During mating season, male greater sage-grouse gather in communal groups called leks. To attract females, they engage in showy dances, strutting around with puffed-out chests and fanned-out tail feathers. They also fight with each other. Some birds are more aggressive, others less so. Researchers have long thought these battles were likely designed to impress female onlookers.

It turns out, however, that female grouse are more interested in the dance displays and are more likely to mate with males who put on a good show.

The findings are published in the Proceedings of the Royal Society B.

“The females have evolved to be connoisseurs of these displays,” said Samuel S. Snow, a former doctoral student in Yale’s Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology and lead author of the new study. “Females don’t care about the outcomes of the fights. They just want to get back to the displays.”

Snow, who is now a postdoctoral fellow at the University of British Columbia, conducted the research with ornithologist Richard Prum, the William Robertson Coe Professor of Ornithology of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology in Yale’s Faculty of Arts and Sciences. Researchers from the University of California’s Davis and Irvine campuses also contributed.







Close-up of a male greater sage-grouse ‘strut’ display. Credit: Samuel S. Snow

In their study, researchers analyzed video of 18 days of greater sage-grouse mating behaviors on the grasslands of Wyoming’s Great Basin region. Their findings reveal that while fighting serves necessary purposes, such as defending territory and deterring potential courtship disruptions, it can also hurt a male’s chances of mating. Not only are females unimpressed with aggression, the time males spend fighting also cuts considerably into the time they might otherwise be mating.

“The simplistic correlation between aggression and mating success turned out to be wrong in this species,” Prum said.

The researchers then used a powerful statistical method known as a Relational Event Model (REM) to analyze the birds’ mating behavior. It was the first time REM was applied to animal mating behavior. REM focuses not just on events, but on their order and timing.

Whereas other methods used in past research simply counted fights and subsequent matings, and then looked for correlations, REM offers a wider view. It enabled researchers to observe what happens before and after each event.

This approach, applied to detailed observations of the grouse spanning the entire mating season, yielded a more granular, cause-and-effect understanding of how aggression affects mating, Snow said.

Researchers tested two theories: the “aggression model” (which assumes fighting attracts mates) and the “attractiveness model” (which allows that some male display moves are just more attractive to females and fighting doesn’t help). The data supported the “attractiveness model.”

Best-supported model in hand, researchers were further able to run computer simulations of the grouse lek under different social conditions. “The modeling helped us get causal inferences from observational data,” Snow said. “It takes into account when the grouse fight and how much time they’re then able to devote to displaying. It also illustrates how fighting can interfere with mating success and how too much can destabilize social systems.

So, what are the male display qualities that most impress the female greater sage-grouse? Researchers aren’t sure, but the birds are.

“The displays are highly specialized to the females’ preferences as to what they want to see in the lek.” Snow said. “For males, the takeaway would be: Don’t start fights you can’t win and don’t start fights when there are females around.”

More information:
Samuel S. Snow et al, Fighting isn’t sexy in lekking greater sage-grouse: a relational event model approach for mating interactions, Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences (2025). DOI: 10.1098/rspb.2024.2981

Provided by
Yale University


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Statistical modeling reveals mating tip for prairie bird species: You should be dancing (2025, June 2)
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